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Copyright is retained by the first or sole author, who grants right of first publication to the EDUCATION POLICY ANALYSIS ARCHIVES. EPAA is a publication of the Colleges of Education at Arizona State University and the University of South Florida. Articles published in EPAA are indexed in the Directory of Open Access Journals.

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Volume 16 Number 11
June 4, 2008
ISSN 1068-2341

Using Administrative Data to Estimate Graduation Rates:
Challenges, Proposed Solutions and their Pitfalls

Joydeep Roy
Economic Policy Institute and Georgetown University

Lawrence Mishel
Economic Policy Institute

Citation: Roy, J., & Mishel, L. (2008). Using administrative data to estimate graduation rates: Challenges, Proposed solutions and their pitfalls. Education Policy Analysis Archives, 16(11). Retrieved [date] from http://epaa.asu.edu/epaa/v16n11/.

Abstract

In recent years there has been a renewed interest in understanding the levels and trends in high school graduation in the U.S. A big and influential literature has argued that the “true” high school graduation rate remains at an unsatisfactory level, and that the graduation rates for minorities (Blacks and Hispanics) are alarmingly low. In this paper we take a closer look at the different measures of high school graduation which have recently been proposed and which yield such low estimates of graduation rates. We argue that the nature of the variables in the Common Core of Data, the dataset maintained by the U.S. Department of Education that is the main source for all of the new measures, requires caution in calculating graduation rates, and the adjustments that have been proposed often impart significant downward bias to the estimates.
Keywords: High school graduation; measurement; Common Core of Data

El uso de datos administrativos para estimar tasas de graduación: Desafíos, soluciones propuestas y sus peligros

Resumen
En los últimos años ha habido un renovado interés en la comprensión de los niveles y tendencias de la graduación de la escuela secundaria en los EE.UU. Una gran e influyente literatura ha argumentado que la "verdadera" tasa de graduación escolar se mantiene en un nivel insatisfactorio, y que las tasas de graduación de las minorías (negros e hispanos) son alarmantemente bajas. En este trabajo se examina con mayor atención los indicadores de graduación de escuelas secundarias que recientemente se han propuesto, que dan por resultado esas estimaciones de las tasas de graduación excesivamente bajas. Nosotros sostenemos que la naturaleza de las variables en la Base Central de Datos (Common Core of Data), desarrollada por Departamento de Educación de los EE.UU. que es la principal fuente para todas las nuevas medidas, demandan cautela en el cálculo de las tasas de graduación, ya que las adaptaciones que se han propuesto, ha menudo implican un importante sesgo para reducir las estimaciones de graduación.
Palabras clave: graduación de la escuela secundaria; de medición; base común de datos.

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